Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell

Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell

Share this post

Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell
Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell
Did Ukraine Just Create an Electronic Iron Dome?

Did Ukraine Just Create an Electronic Iron Dome?

Meet Atlas, Ukraine's new EW wall

Wes O'Donnell's avatar
Wes O'Donnell
Jun 25, 2025
∙ Paid
49

Share this post

Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell
Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell
Did Ukraine Just Create an Electronic Iron Dome?
3
9
Share
Project "Atlas" - KSE Charitable Foundation

If you’ve ever cobbled together a Wi‑Fi jammer in your garage, you might appreciate what Kyiv’s been whipping up lately. No, we’re not talking about your average tinkerer hacks; I’m talking about a sweeping, near-improvised defensive revolution that’s quietly changing the rules of national defense and changing them very quickly.

Cheap, Dumb Swarms Vs. Missile Batteries

It’s the equivalent of using a Porsche to chase a stolen scooter, except in this case, the scooter’s on autopilot and there are 40 of them. Russia’s strategy, refined over years of attrition, isn’t elegant, but it’s effective in one key area: bleeding Ukraine’s high-end air defense dry.

A single Patriot missile costs around $4 million.

A Shahed? Fifty grand and held together with super glue. That’s an 80-to-1 cost ratio, and while only 1 in 10 Shaheds might hit something important, that’s not the point. The point is pressure. Not physical destruction, but psychological and logistical exhaustion. And it works.

Each launch forces Ukraine to light up sensors, scramble crews, coordinate intercepts, and occasionally fire multimillion-dollar missiles at what amounts to a flying go-kart. This isn’t sustainable. Not because Ukraine can’t match Russia drone-for-drone, but because matching them missile-for-drone is an economic suicide pact.

The foundation of swarm tactics isn’t in precision, it’s in volume. Saturation attacks force defenders to make bad choices: Do you save that interceptor for something larger, or use it now on the buzzing object over your power station? What if it’s bait? What if it's got friends?

This isn’t war by accuracy. It’s war by erosion. A very “Russian” concept of war. And every successful intercept, while tactically sound, is a strategic drain.

Russia knows this. That’s why the drones don’t stop. They’re not trying to destroy targets, they’re trying to destroy ratios.

Cost ratios.

Response time ratios.

Inventory-to-need ratios.

Ukraine, to its credit, sees the trap and is pivoting accordingly. But every Shahed shot down with anything more expensive than a thermal scope and a belt-fed weapon is a tiny Russian win.

This is where battlefield math starts replacing battlefield maps. And that’s a math problem Ukraine can’t solve with brute force alone.

Enter the Spoofers

If shooting drones out of the sky feels inefficient, that’s because it is. Enter stage left: the spoofers: Ukraine’s soft-kill answer to Russia’s hardheaded Shahed spam.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Eyes Only with Wes O'Donnell to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Wes O'Donnell
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share