The Weekly Preflight: 5 Things to Watch in Global Security | Week of June 15, 2026

Ebola is moving faster than contact tracers can follow

US forces carried out a maritime interdiction and right-of-visit boarding of the sanctioned stateless vessel MT DAVINA located in the Indian Ocean within the INDOPACOM area of responsibility, June 4, 2026. The Department of War will continue to deny illicit actors and their vessels freedom of maneuver in the maritime domain. Public domain

Think of this as your weekly strategic weather report exclusively for paid subscribers. Five things to watch and what could break next in war, defense tech, and geopolitics. Just the pressure points most likely to shape the next seven days.

If you want to understand how I build my OSINT dashboard, I wrote about my workflow here. This needs to be updated; it’s on my to-do list.

My Guide to OSINT, Noise Reduction, and Modern War Forecasting

Let’s jump in. As always, links in the text if you want sources:

BLUF:

The deal is signed in principle, unsigned in practice, and unverified in any meaningful sense. Russia burned a monastery to remind everyone the Ukraine war didn’t end. Ebola is moving faster than contact tracers can follow. And the market is throwing a party with one eye on the exit. Stay sharp.