I think the barrier against IA deciding on human kills will never go back to where it was. For better or worse, the Terminator has been created so to speak.
Wes, there have been revolutions in military weaponry / warfare over the course of human history, yet this one feels different - more radical. Is that just because we're living through it? Can you think of any previous revolution that had such an impact on warfare as the AI and drone revolution? Crossbows? Longbows? Gunpowder? Artillery? Machine guns? Flight? (I'm running out of ideas.)
Craig, part of it is absolutely the usual illusion of living through history while the dust is still in the air. Every generation thinks its revolution is the revolution. People watching the first machine guns, tanks, or combat aircraft probably felt the same vertigo. That said, this one does look unusually radical because it’s not one invention. It’s a stack. Cheap drones, ubiquitous sensors, AI-assisted targeting, satellite internet, mass-produced precision strike, electronic warfare, and battlefield software are all colliding at once. That compresses the kill chain in a way earlier revolutions usually didn’t.
If I had to name earlier revolutions that feel comparable, gunpowder was a pretty big deal because it rewrote centuries of military architecture and social order. What feels different now is the cost curve. In past revolutions, the side with the new toys usually needed a state arsenal, a factory network, and years to field them. Now a cheap drone linked to decent software can threaten platforms that cost millions. That’s historically weird.
Destinus is a European manufacturer, actually the Ruta is being built in a Dutch city, not too far away. That's not a coincidence, Ukraine collects data, Western companies use that data for innovating military drones. Ukraine is testing ground for 21st century warfare. Expect it to be the same for Russia and China.
Yeah, except the other guys can see the same things you're seeing, and the barriers to development are lower every day. This year, it's Ukraine; next year, it's Iran, Russia, and China... Everybody wins except the civilians, and I don't have a clue what we can do about it.
FWIW, I love your writing about all of this, but damn, where is it all going?
I think the barrier against IA deciding on human kills will never go back to where it was. For better or worse, the Terminator has been created so to speak.
Yes, imagine what would have happened to Sarah Connor if a Hivemind powered drone swarm had come after her instead of Arnold.
A much shorter movie is what.
Slava Ukraini!
And now there is little reason to share with USA.
Unless it pays for it … bigly
ukriane is doing its best to remain as the no1 drone military in the world, in another two years we will be reading of a newer al model
Wes, there have been revolutions in military weaponry / warfare over the course of human history, yet this one feels different - more radical. Is that just because we're living through it? Can you think of any previous revolution that had such an impact on warfare as the AI and drone revolution? Crossbows? Longbows? Gunpowder? Artillery? Machine guns? Flight? (I'm running out of ideas.)
Craig, part of it is absolutely the usual illusion of living through history while the dust is still in the air. Every generation thinks its revolution is the revolution. People watching the first machine guns, tanks, or combat aircraft probably felt the same vertigo. That said, this one does look unusually radical because it’s not one invention. It’s a stack. Cheap drones, ubiquitous sensors, AI-assisted targeting, satellite internet, mass-produced precision strike, electronic warfare, and battlefield software are all colliding at once. That compresses the kill chain in a way earlier revolutions usually didn’t.
If I had to name earlier revolutions that feel comparable, gunpowder was a pretty big deal because it rewrote centuries of military architecture and social order. What feels different now is the cost curve. In past revolutions, the side with the new toys usually needed a state arsenal, a factory network, and years to field them. Now a cheap drone linked to decent software can threaten platforms that cost millions. That’s historically weird.
Destinus is a European manufacturer, actually the Ruta is being built in a Dutch city, not too far away. That's not a coincidence, Ukraine collects data, Western companies use that data for innovating military drones. Ukraine is testing ground for 21st century warfare. Expect it to be the same for Russia and China.
I now have existential dread. Fuck me ... I'm glad I'm old.
Yeah, except the other guys can see the same things you're seeing, and the barriers to development are lower every day. This year, it's Ukraine; next year, it's Iran, Russia, and China... Everybody wins except the civilians, and I don't have a clue what we can do about it.
FWIW, I love your writing about all of this, but damn, where is it all going?